Les AuCoin

Archive for the ‘debate polls’ Category

Debate Polls Are All Obama, But . . .

In debate polls, McCain, Obama, Obama's possible ceiling, second debate, Undecideds on October 7, 2008 at 11:34 am

In Round 2, McCain needed a game-changer, and did not get it. Obama wanted to close the sale and did not do it. But Obama moved closer to his goal than McCain did his, with 29 days left, by sweeping the board on polls judging the debate.

Here are the results at MediaCurves.Com.

On the other hand, a recent AP-Yahoo! News poll found that 18 percent of likely voters are up for grabs — undecided or willing to change their minds — little more than five weeks before Americans choose between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain.

A large chunk of these voters say they are hurting on a personal level from the country’s economic woes, and, like everyone else, they say the economy is the top issue. Most are looking for a better life and a leader to help make it happen — and most haven’t found what they seek in Obama or McCain.

Apropos of this, over at Five Thirty Eight blog, there’s a discussion of race and what Obama’s ceiling may be, and some concern that he may be near it, which would mean, if true, that McCain has an advantage with those undecideds.

It’s the most nerve-wracking election I’ve ever been through.

Update: A reader just left an important comment that shows flaws in Five Thirty Eight’s analysis. I urge you to check it out by clicking on Comments, below.